Yesterday's Weather
Use history to estimate future achievements
The Yesterday's Weather framework is a method for estimating future achievements by using history as a guide. This framework helps individuals and teams to make more accurate estimates, and to avoid underestimating or overestimating the time required to complete tasks.
- Use history to estimate future achievements
- Assume that tomorrow will be like today
- Quantify achievements to make estimation easier
- Track progressTrack the number of Pomodori completed each day, and use this data to estimate future achievements.Pro tipUse a consistent method for tracking progressWarningBe careful not to underestimate or overestimate the time required to complete tasks
- Use the data to estimateUse the data from tracking progress to estimate the time required to complete future tasks.Pro tipRegularly review and update the estimatesWarningBe careful not to ignore the data, as this can lead to inaccurate estimates
Example 1
An individual uses the Yesterday's Weather framework to estimate the time required to complete a task. They track their progress, and use the data to estimate the time required to complete the task.
OutcomeThe individual is able to complete the task on time, and feels more productive and in control
Underestimating or overestimating the time required to complete tasks
Underestimating or overestimating the time required to complete tasks can lead to decreased productivity and increased stress
The Yesterday's Weather framework is inspired by the idea that the best predictor of future behavior is past behavior. The framework is designed to help individuals and teams to use their history to make more accurate estimates.
Source · BOOK
Pomodoro Technique Illustrated The Easy Way to Do More in - Staffan Nöteberg, Francesco Cirillo