Diagnose where any actor falls between Trump backing down and consequences

TACO vs. FAFO: Geopolitical expert Ian Bremmer on acronyms describing Trump #TEDTalks · Ian Bremmer

Copy the full toolkit or don't copy at all.

Who's Really Crashing the Economy? · Ha-Joon Chang

Democracies cannot absorb conflict pain as long as adversaries can — making US threats credible only against weak targets

The Global Politics Expert: The Real Global Danger is What Comes Next! · Ian Bremmer

Understand and navigate big debt crises using the four levers of deleveraging

Big Debt Crises · Ray Dalio

Trade benefits both parties even when one is better at producing everything

On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation · David Ricardo

Every real strategy has three elements: diagnosis, guiding policy, action

Good Strategy/Bad Strategy: The difference and why it matters · Richard Rumelt

First, do no harm -- the cost of intervention often exceeds the cost of inaction

Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder · Nassim Nicholas Taleb