7frameworks
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The Event Converts the Thesis (the World Cup Conviction Trigger)
A market-creating bet that pencils out on analysis still needs a live, in-person event to convert intellectual interest into capital-grade conviction — go stand in the building before you commit.
The 300-Year Vision AnchorIn-depth
Lock onto a multi-decade technology trend, then hold through every crash
Dual Conviction Test
Commit to high-stakes bets only when upside belief and downside acceptance both exist
Snoopy's Interest Rate AxiomIn-depth
Only two things matter: the rate now and the rate at the end.
The Crazy Idea EngineIn-depth
Transform obsessive personal passion into a venture worth pursuing
The Conviction-Based Decision-Making Framework
Put your money where your mouth is
The Conviction Compass
Hold beliefs like religion until the market, not opinions, tells you otherwise