9frameworks
Quality
Showing 1–9 of 9
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Agent Runtime Doubling Law
AI agent coherence time doubles every 7 months — model the exponential, not the snapshot
The Capability-Safety Asymmetry
Capability grows exponentially; safety linearly — the gap keeps widening
The Intelligence Scaling LawIn-depth
10x compute/year for a decade produced emergent AI — no ceiling in sight
Hockey Stick vs. Linear Projection GapIn-depth
Humans forecast linearly; technology compounds exponentially — bet on the gap
Exponential Age Adoption S-CurveIn-depth
Crypto is in the early acceleration phase of an S-curve faster than the internet
Compounding's Hidden Power
Good returns sustained over time always beat great returns that can't last
The Exponential Incidence of Death Framework
Aging doubles death risk every 8 years
Network Effects Framework
Exponential growth
Superlinear Returns Framework
Exponential growth & thresholds