mental models

Stop obsessing over the goal and become obsessed with whatever is defending you from it.

Identify the 7 conditions that guarantee costly mistakes before you make them

Escape anxiety spirals by zooming out to the level where stable confidence lives

Replace the economy-vs-ecology trade-off with the truth that every product is mined or grown from nature.

Copy the full toolkit or don't copy at all.

Match the economic school to the question — no single theory explains everything.

Separate near-term misuse risk from long-term AGI risk — they need different models

Break a failing plan by explicitly accepting it has failed before building a new one

Treat every belief as a testable tool—keep what works, drop what doesn't

Turn consistent forecast failures into a missing-variable hunt that beats consensus.

Your brain is not one computer — it is a collection of specialized processors working in concert

Bridge any mental gap by following the thread of what you already know, want, and believe

Invest in great businesses at fair prices using patience, rationality, and a circle of competence

Change the story you tell about yourself and you change the trajectory of your life

Build a lattice of cross-disciplinary mental models to reduce blind spots and make better decisions

Build a cross-disciplinary toolkit of mental models for superior decisions

Solve impossible problems by working backwards from what you want to avoid

Turn personal curiosity into public value to build an audience from zero

Measure learning effectiveness by the rate of mistaken assumptions revealed, not information consumed

Think beyond the obvious consensus to find where the crowd is wrong

Three invisible forces that sabotage every valuation you will ever do

Make better decisions using frameworks from multiple disciplines

Build expert-level internal models that transform how you perceive and decide

If you cannot explain it five different ways in simple language, you do not actually understand it

Map your knowledge boundaries before making high-stakes decisions

Almost nothing is objectively true — choose beliefs that help you become who you want to be

Every situation is 'another one of those'—identify the pattern, study its history, extract the principles

Disorder is the default; order requires constant energy investment

Choose thoughts by their usefulness, not their truth value

The finite mental bandwidth you have available to focus on and process things in any given moment

Prospects rank brands on mental ladders — know your rung before you choose your strategy.

Debunk the myths that sabotage focus and extraordinary results

When stuck, shift up or down in altitude to find the level where clarity lives

Shed perfectionism by embracing good enough as the path to great spontaneous speaking

Stop depending on time and make time depend on you

Use stories of plausible futures to reveal hidden assumptions about the present

Surface the hidden thoughts sabotaging your conversations

Trace how you leap from observable data to untested conclusions

Five interlinked practices that transform organizations into learning systems

Simplest explanation

Distinguish maps from reality

Your brain is not broken; it is running ancient software in a modern world

Understand and restore the brain's focus-rest seesaw

Stress-test the boundaries of the impossible with questions that force clarity

Distinguish real constraints from collective agreements you can renegotiate

See, tell a story, feel, act — trace your reactions back to the interpretation you chose

Two equations that explain why effort matters more than talent for achievement

Replace 'I can't afford it' with a question that engages your brain.

In an age of leverage, one correct decision is worth more than a thousand hours of effort

Recognize the three mindsets that prevent you from rethinking and escape them