23frameworks
Showing 1–23 of 23
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The 1% Bet
Sure things bore me; long shots make my ears perk up.
Accountability as EquityIn-depth
Take accountability like an equity stake to unlock proportional upside in any work
Accountability-to-Leverage PipelineIn-depth
Put your name on outcomes to earn credibility, equity, and leverage others cannot access
Rational Optimism with Ruin AvoidanceIn-depth
Override genetic pessimism to take asymmetric bets, with one hard rule: avoid total ruin.
Institutional Bitcoin Adoption Risk FrameworkIn-depth
Stress-test any institutional Bitcoin exposure across three systemic risk categories before allocating.
Correlate-Not-Cause Risk Audit
Before blaming the loudest variable, control for known drivers and see if the effect survives.
The Containment ProblemIn-depth
AI is omni-use — containment requires choke points, not just regulation
Intelligence Explosion — The Recursive Self-Improvement ThresholdIn-depth
The AI that can do AI research better than humans triggers a takeoff with no human steering
The Midas Touch ProblemIn-depth
Precisely optimizing a misspecified objective is the catastrophe, not a step toward it
The G-Zero WorldIn-depth
When the hegemon withdraws and no one replaces it, the powerful write their own rules
The Squibb Dream Discovery and Pursuit System
Discover your dream through three questions, free yourself from limiting beliefs, and follow a structured path from starting poor to growing rich
Risk Denial Framework
Don't deny risk, manage it
Moral Hazard Framework
The risk of shirking or taking unnecessary risks
Leaving the Outcome beyond Your Control Framework
Make a threat credible
Burning Bridges Framework
Deny yourself an opportunity to retreat
The Role of Luck and Risk
Success is never as good or as bad as it seems -- luck and risk shape every outcome
The Fear-to-Faith ConversionIn-depth
Replace the paralyzing story of fear with the motivating story of faith
Banker's Paradox
The dilemma of lending to those who need it most
The Genetic Predisposition Framework
Understanding genetic risk for alcoholism
The Genetic Risk Framework
Genetics play a role
The Reckless Marriage Framework
Marriage as a reckless endeavor
The Two Kinds of Science FrameworkIn-depth
Distinguish between high-risk, hypothesis-driven science and low-risk, incremental 'crank-turning...
Asymmetric Risk-Taking
Take your biggest risks when you have nothing to lose and everything to gain.