42frameworks
Quality
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Recurring Revenue Stability ScoreIn-depth
Quantify recurring vs. reoccurring revenue split before any acquisition decision
The Four Bubble Warning SignsIn-depth
Four sociological markers that signal speculative mania — regardless of asset class
The Visionary Credibility Audit
Judge high-conviction operators by their mechanisms, not their magnitude
The TACO-FAFO SpectrumIn-depth
Diagnose where any actor falls between Trump backing down and consequences
The Escalation TrapIn-depth
Precision bombing creates a 3-stage ladder where tactical success breeds strategic failure
The Blackmail Threshold TestIn-depth
Autonomous self-interest behaviors in controlled tests reveal the true alignment state of frontier AI models
Fear-Setting: The Antidote to Paralysis
Define your fears in writing to realize most are preventable and reversible
The Twelve Risk Assessment for GLP-1 Decisions
Make informed health decisions by weighing all twelve documented risks
The Marriage Lottery Mindset
Treat your relationship like a high-stakes bet worth winning
The Reverse Engineering Strategy Test
Test strategy by imagining what must be true for it to succeed
The Opportunity Scoring Matrix
Multiply passion times profit potential times probability of success to evaluate any venture
Guarantee Bad vs Chance at Good
Choose uncertain opportunity over guaranteed misery every time
Fear-Setting: The Three-Page Exercise
Define your fears in writing to overcome paralysis and make your best decisions
Fear-Setting as Stoic Practice
Write out your worst fears to defuse them and reveal the path forward
The Bad Decision Taxonomy
Twelve systematic failure modes that produce catastrophic choices
The 3P Scenario Test
Categorize scenarios as Possible, Plausible, or Probable before acting on them
The Three Dimensions of Risk
Tail-end consequences matter more than probability or average outcomes
The Thinking in Bets Framework
Every decision is a bet on the future under uncertainty
The Five-Factor Strategic AssessmentIn-depth
Evaluate five constant factors before any competitive engagement
Market Development Strategy ChecklistIn-depth
A nine-factor scoring system for evaluating beachhead candidates and screening out segments with ...
Necessity and Sufficiency
Having the necessary conditions doesn't mean you have enough to guarantee success
Probabilistic ThinkingIn-depth
Estimate the odds, update with evidence, and prepare for fat tails
Thought ExperimentIn-depth
Use your imagination to explore what cannot be tested in reality
Vigilance and Threat Detection Framework
Assessing threats and risks
Vigilance Framework
Assessing threats and risks
Entrepreneurial Risk Assessment Framework
Evaluate risks
Musk's Entrepreneurial Risk Assessment
Weighing risks and rewards
Index Investing Risk Assessment Framework
Evaluate index investing risks
The Nicotine Risk Assessment Framework
Evaluate the risks of nicotine use
Cannabis Use and Psychosis Risk Assessment Framework
Assessing cannabis use and psychosis risk
Stimulant Medication Risk Assessment Framework
Assessing risks of stimulant meds
The Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Framework
Know your risk
The AI Risk Assessment Framework
Mitigate the risks of AI
Thermostat Calibration Framework
Calibrate your sense of danger
The Vulnerability Assessment Framework
Consider vulnerabilities
The Risk-Benefit Analysis Framework
Weigh risks vs benefits
Benefit-Harm Population Stratification FrameworkIn-depth
Tailor medical recommendations by calculating risk-benefit ratios across different population gro...
The Scientific Dissent Cost-Benefit FrameworkIn-depth
Weighing personal career risk against public harm when challenging orthodoxy
Fear-SettingIn-depth
Define your nightmare in detail so you can conquer the paralysis of inaction
Investment vs. Speculation Distinction
An investment operation promises safety of principal and adequate return upon thorough analysis
The Optimism Calibration Protocol
Harness optimism's benefits while protecting against its predictable costs
Prospect Theory Decision Framework
Understand how loss aversion and reference points shape every choice you make