STRATEGYMonths to result

Discontinuity Model

Navigate tech adoption

Problem it solves

unclear strategic direction

Best for

High-tech companies navigating the Technology Adoption Life Cycle

Not ideal for

Companies with low-tech or mature products

Overview

Why this framework exists

The Discontinuity Model helps high-tech companies understand the impact of paradigm shock and application breakthroughs on the Technology Adoption Life Cycle. It provides a framework for navigating the transition from the tornado phase to Main Street, where companies must adapt to changing market conditions and customer needs. The model consists of four quadrants, each representing a different stage of the life cycle, from the early market to Main Street.

Core principles

3 total
  1. Paradigm shock can be a significant barrier to technology adoption.
  2. Application breakthroughs can drive technology adoption by providing significant benefits to end-users.
  3. The Discontinuity Model provides a framework for understanding the impact of paradigm shock and application breakthroughs on the Technology Adoption Life Cycle.

Steps

4 steps
  1. Assess Paradigm Shock
    Evaluate the level of paradigm shock associated with a new technology, considering factors such as the need for new skills, changes to business processes, and potential disruptions to existing systems.
    Pro tipUse a paradigm shock assessment framework to evaluate the potential impact of a new technology on your customers and business.
    WarningUnderestimating paradigm shock can lead to significant adoption barriers and slower market penetration.
  2. Evaluate Application Breakthroughs
    Assess the potential benefits of a new technology, considering factors such as increased productivity, cost savings, and improved customer experience.
    Pro tipUse case studies and customer feedback to evaluate the potential application breakthroughs of a new technology.
    WarningOverestimating application breakthroughs can lead to disappointed customers and a failed market launch.
  3. Plot the Technology on the Discontinuity Model
    Use the Discontinuity Model to plot the technology on the life cycle, considering factors such as paradigm shock, application breakthroughs, and market penetration.
    Pro tipUse the Discontinuity Model to identify potential market opportunities and challenges.
    WarningFailing to plot the technology on the Discontinuity Model can lead to a lack of understanding of the market dynamics and potential pitfalls.
  4. Develop a Marketing Strategy
    Develop a marketing strategy that takes into account the paradigm shock, application breakthroughs, and market penetration of the technology.
    Pro tipUse the Discontinuity Model to inform marketing decisions and develop targeted marketing campaigns.
    WarningFailing to develop a marketing strategy that takes into account the Discontinuity Model can lead to a failed market launch and poor customer adoption.

Checklist

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Examples

2 cases
Hewlett-Packard's 200LX

Hewlett-Packard's 200LX was a pocket-sized palmtop PC that came with Lotus 1-2-3 and other software. The company faced a challenge in determining where the product fit on the Technology Adoption Life Cycle, and ultimately decided to position it as a PDA.

OutcomeThe 200LX was successful in the market, but HP's marketing efforts were initially confused due to a lack of understanding of the product's position on the life cycle.
Lotus Notes

Lotus Notes was a software product that faced challenges in determining its position on the Technology Adoption Life Cycle. The company ultimately decided to focus on vertical markets and develop a whole product strategy.

OutcomeLotus Notes was successful in the market, but the company faced challenges in navigating the transition from the tornado phase to Main Street.

Common mistakes

3 traps
Underestimating Paradigm Shock
Underestimating paradigm shock can lead to significant adoption barriers and slower market penetration.
Overestimating Application Breakthroughs
Overestimating application breakthroughs can lead to disappointed customers and a failed market launch.
Failing to Plot the Technology on the Discontinuity Model
Failing to plot the technology on the Discontinuity Model can lead to a lack of understanding of the market dynamics and potential pitfalls.

Origin story

How this framework came to be

The Discontinuity Model was developed by Geoffrey A. Moore as a way to help high-tech companies understand the complexities of the Technology Adoption Life Cycle. Moore recognized that the life cycle is not a linear process, but rather a complex and dynamic system that requires companies to adapt and evolve in response to changing market conditions.

Source

Traced to primary
Source · BOOK
Inside the Tornado: Marketing Strategies From Silicon Valley's Cutting Edge
Geoffrey A. Moore · 1995
Open source →

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