Predict when emerging technologies become economically viable using production learning rates.
Why SpaceX Wants To Put AI Data Centers In Orbit — Milk Road AI · Milk Road AI
Trace climate shocks through commercial and financial relationships, not just physical damage.
How Climate Shocks Could Break the Economy · Edmond Rhys Jones
Read three market signals before committing — rates, supply balance, price trajectory
Mortgage Expert: What First Time Buyers Need to Know in 2026 · Eddie Ross
Expertise builds confidence faster than it builds competence — and experts are the most dangerous victims
The Economist's Guide To Getting Rich · Erik Angner
Fees are the only form of alpha you can guarantee — and they compound against you
The Golden Age of Returns is Over · Mike Staunton & Paul Marsh
Evaluate government announcements by long-run commitment, not short-run numbers
Your Taxes Are About to Go Up (Again) · Helen Miller
Spend heavily now, promise implausible cuts later — a structural pattern in UK fiscal planning
Top Finance Experts React to the UK Budget 2024 · Paul Johnson & Claer Barrett
Teams with better cultures report more errors — they're not making more, they're hiding fewer.
Do We Need To Change Our Minds About Index Funds? · Tim Harford
Separate your public identity from your beliefs so you can update when evidence demands it.
Do We Need To Change Our Minds About Index Funds? · Tim Harford
Financial media's incentive structure guarantees bad forecasts — by design
If You Understand This, You'll Never Fear a Market Crash Again · William J. Bernstein
Interest rates are a dull sword swung in the dark — blunt, delayed, and paradoxically capable of causing the opposite of what's intended
The Interest Rate Crisis Has Just Begun · Edward Chancellor
Headline GDP growth tells you nothing about living standards — check disposable income.
Ex-Government Economist: Politicians Are Lying About the Economy · Vicky Pryce
Ask your mum before you read the textbook — real financial lives beat models
The Rich Will Bankrupt Us All - Gary's Economics · Gary Stevenson
Value a business line by line so forecast errors cancel instead of compound.
How to Invest in Stocks · Sasha Yanshin
Take credit honestly: separate what you did from what your decade did.
Have Boomers Rigged The System? · Tom Nicholas
Median-by-age data is a snapshot of one era's rules, not a forecast of yours.
Have Boomers Rigged The System? · Tom Nicholas
Decompose past returns to set realistic forward expectations
The Problem With Saving 10% of Your Income · Ben Felix
AI agent coherence time doubles every 7 months — model the exponential, not the snapshot
AI AGENTS DEBATE: These Jobs Won't Exist In 24 Months! · Amjad Masad & Bret Weinstein
AI invents — making it the last invention and all retraining logic obsolete
The AI Safety Expert: These Are The Only 5 Jobs That Will Remain In 2030! · Roman Yampolskiy
AI drives costs to zero across all sectors, lifting real GDP growth from 3% to 7.3%
Invest in This – It'll Be Worth $1.5 Million by 2030 | World Leading Investing Expert · Cathie Wood
Humans forecast linearly; technology compounds exponentially — bet on the gap
Uber CEO: I Have To Be Honest, AI Will Replace 9.4 Million Jobs At Uber! · Dara Khosrowshahi
Turn consistent forecast failures into a missing-variable hunt that beats consensus.
Have I been wrong on the economy the whole time? — Garys Economics · Garys Economics
Plan for learning rather than execution when entering markets that do not yet exist
The Innovator's Dilemma · Clayton M. Christensen
Focus on the human behaviors that never change rather than trying to predict what will change next
Morgan Housel — Contrarian Money and Writing Advice, Three Simple Goals to Guide Your Life, and More · Morgan Housel
Increase caution precisely when others become reckless and opportunity emerges
Howard Marks: How I Mastered the Markets - My Advice From 50 Years of Investing · Howard Marks
Treat your beliefs like hypotheses to be tested, not possessions to be defended
Adam Grant - Rethinking Your Position (The Knowledge Project Ep. #112) · Adam Grant
Use base rates from similar projects, not your optimistic inside view
Daniel Kahneman: Putting Your Intuition on Ice · Daniel Kahneman
Behavioral mastery trumps technical skill in financial success
Morgan Housel — Walking and Thinking · Morgan Housel
Forecast the evolution of an emerging industry
Competitive Strategy · Michael E. Porter
Price level that deters entry
Competitive Strategy · Michael E. Porter
Produce only what is needed, when it is needed, in the amount needed to eliminate waste and approach zero inventory
Toyota Production System: Beyond Large-Scale Production · Taiichi Ohno
Prove you have a repeatable and scalable sales process by getting customers to actually buy
The Four Steps to the Epiphany · Steve Blank
Pessimism sounds smarter than optimism, but the world tends to get better over time
The Psychology of Money: Timeless Lessons on Wealth, Greed, and Happiness · Morgan Housel
Plan for things going wrong so you survive long enough for things to go right
The Psychology of Money: Timeless Lessons on Wealth, Greed, and Happiness · Morgan Housel
Let downstream demand control upstream production through visual signals
The Toyota Production System Journey: The Continuously Changing Features of TPS and Lean Thinking · Noboru Takeuchi
Evaluate five constant factors before any competitive engagement
The Art of War · Sun Tzu
Plan to learn and iterate, not to execute a preconceived strategy
The Innovator's Dilemma: When New Technologies Cause Great Firms to Fail · Clayton M. Christensen
Real traders do not watch the news; they watch the markets. Markets tell you the truth.
The Trading Game: A Confession · Gary Stevenson
When the rich get richer, interest rates stay at zero and the economy never recovers.
The Trading Game: A Confession · Gary Stevenson
Predict effort accurately by measuring in Pomodoros and tracking estimation errors
The Pomodoro Technique · Francesco Cirillo
Use stories of plausible futures to reveal hidden assumptions about the present
The Fifth Discipline Fieldbook · Peter Senge
Know many things broadly instead of one thing deeply
Range · David Epstein
Solve new problems by mapping them to distant but structurally similar ones
Range · David Epstein
Six daily biological investments that anchor mood and mental health
Mental Health Toolkit: Tools to Bolster Your Mood & Mental Health · Andrew Huberman
Four determinants that establish what any stock is fundamentally worth
A Random Walk Down Wall Street · Burton G. Malkiel
Stock prices move unpredictably, so stop trying to outsmart the market
A Random Walk Down Wall Street · Burton G. Malkiel
Maintain a fixed stock-bond split and rebalance when it drifts beyond thresholds
The Intelligent Investor · Benjamin Graham
Detach your ego from your ideas so that changing your mind feels like discovery, not defeat
Think Again: The Power of Knowing What You Don't Know · Adam Grant
Consensus-based hiring finds inoffensive mediocrity -- hire for world-class strengths
The Hard Thing About Hard Things · Ben Horowitz
Use scientific experiments to discover what customers truly want
The Lean Startup · Eric Ries