146frameworks
Quality
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The Invincibility-First DoctrineIn-depth
First make yourself unbeatable, then wait for the enemy to become beatable
Know Yourself, Know Your EnemyIn-depth
Double knowledge of self and opponent eliminates uncertainty in competition
Ways to Grow Innovation Matrix
Balance your innovation portfolio across four quadrants of risk and reward
Premeditatio Malorum: Negative Visualization
Rehearse adversity in your mind so it cannot ambush you in life
The Perpetual Cash Flow TightropeIn-depth
Grow aggressively by leveraging every dollar while managing existential risk
Backcasting and PremortemIn-depth
Work backward from success and failure to plan the path
The Fun Money Allocation Rule
Index 85-95% of your portfolio, then play with the rest guilt-free.
The Investment Time Horizon Risk Framework
Risk is not volatility -- it is not having money when you need it.
The Outfox the Box Decision Model
Choose the known $8,000 over gambling for the unknown $10,000.
Backup Mate Strategy
Cultivating alternative mates for insurance and protection
Entrepreneurial Risk Management Framework
Manage risk
High-Risk, High-Reward Investment Framework
Invest big, win big
Turnaround Business Investment Framework
Avoiding Turnaround Traps
The Decision Tree Framework
Use probability to make better decisions
Convert or Hold Framework
Evaluate the benefits of converting or holding a convertible security
Cyclical vs Secular Problem Framework
Distinguish between temporary and permanent issues
Debt Financing Framework
Prudent debt management
Price-Based-on-Exposure Framework
Pricing insurance based on risk
Risk-Averse Investment Approach
Avoiding leverage
Risk-Retention Strategy
Retain risk for long-term gains
Structure-Based Investing Framework
Evaluate investment structure
10 Investing Rules
Guidelines for informed investing
Flammable Items Analysis
Identify potential risks
Flammable Items Framework
Identify Red Flags
The Risk Management Framework
Assess and mitigate risks to achieve success
Risk Assessment Framework
Evaluate risks
The Contingency Planning Framework
Be prepared for anything
Kelly Criterion Framework
Avoid Ruin
Bad Trip Prevention Framework
Safe Psychedelic Exploration
Expected Value Framework
Calculate the expected value of startup success
Circle of Competence
Know your limits
Mr. Market
Investing with a margin of safety
The Black Swan Farming FrameworkIn-depth
Investing for extreme outliers in a world of 1000x outcome variation.
The Speed-Accuracy Decision Tradeoff
Slow down for important decisions; arousal amplifies noise as much as signal
Platform Trust Architecture
Build curation, reputation, and risk-sharing systems that make strangers trust each other
The Constitutional Resilience Framework
Build layered protections into your life before you need them
The Three Big Questions Method
Focus every conversation on the three questions that matter most right now
The Diversification Imperative
Spread risk across assets so no single failure can devastate your wealth
The Bubble Recognition Framework
Learn the recurring patterns of speculative manias to protect your wealth
Lifecycle Investment Guide
Adjust your asset allocation as you age from aggressive to conservative
The 50/50 Portfolio Rebalancing Rule
Maintain a fixed stock-bond split and rebalance when it drifts beyond thresholds
Margin of Safety
Only invest when the price is significantly below calculated intrinsic value
Errors of Omission Awareness
Your biggest mistakes are not what you did wrong but what you failed to do at all
The Hidden Problem Doctrine
Assume unseen problems always exist and build systems to surface them proactively
The Barbell Strategy
Combine extreme safety with extreme risk -- avoid the dangerous middle
The Premortem and Overconfidence Antidote
Immunize decisions against overconfidence by imagining failure in advance